Colts vs. Falcons: NFL Week 10 Odds and Prediction
The NFL takes an international turn in Week 10 with the Colts hosting the Falcons at the Berlin Olympic Stadium on November 9. The Colts recently experienced just their second loss of the season, falling 27-20 to Pittsburgh, where six offensive turnovers proved costly—two more than in their previous eight games.
Atlanta dropped to a 3-5 record after a close defeat to the Patriots. Despite the loss, Raheem Morris’ Falcons covered the spread as 5.5-point underdogs and remain third in the NFC South standings.
Game Analysis
Given the Falcons’ weak rush defense and the Colts’ effective running game, the prediction leans toward the Falcons covering the spread (+5.5, -110). However, betting against Indianapolis quarterback Daniel Jones carries risk, especially as public bets heavily favor the Colts.
“Pittsburgh showed that a decent pass rush can get to Jones,” indicating defensive pressure is a key factor. The Falcons’ best chance depends on taking an early lead and relying on their pass rush to maintain it.
Defensive Struggles for the Falcons
A major concern for Atlanta is their difficulty stopping the run. The Falcons' defense, led by Geoff Ulbrich, ranks 24th in rush defense DVOA, while Indianapolis shines as the second-best run offense, according to ftnfantasy.com.
“Entering this matchup, Geoff Ulbrich’s defense ranks 24th in rush defense DVOA. Indianapolis ranks second in the corresponding offensive category.”
Conclusion
While the Colts appear favored, the Falcons' ability to exploit their opponent’s vulnerabilities on defense could keep the game competitive.
Author’s summary: The Colts face the Falcons in Berlin with the Falcons as underdogs; Atlanta’s weak rush defense against Indianapolis’ strong running attack shapes the prediction.