UTSA vs South Florida Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight — College Football Week 11
South Florida is favored to control the game offensively and secure a decisive win on Thursday, November 6. The Bulls are hosting UTSA in a critical matchup to maintain their hopes in the AAC and CFP.
Game Context
South Florida comes off a loss to Memphis but benefits from extra rest, while UTSA is riding high after a dominant win over Tulane. However, despite UTSA’s recent victory, several factors support backing the Bulls' explosive offense.
Expert Prediction
Expect USF to dictate the pace and get just about anything it wants offensively.
Key Insights on UTSA
- UTSA's 22-point win over Tulane may overstate their strength due to Tulane’s mistakes, including a fumble deep in their own territory and a dropped touchdown pass on third down.
- Two forced interceptions by Tulane helped UTSA secure the win, but underlying team metrics show UTSA’s defense is weak.
- Tulane had a 13% explosive play rate, placing them in the Top 15 nationally for the week, indicating UTSA’s defense allowed significant big plays.
Best Bet
South Florida -13.5 (-115) is the recommended pick, reflecting confidence in the Bulls’ ability to control and win the game comfortably.
Author's summary: South Florida’s potent offense and home advantage make them the clear favorite to dominate UTSA and keep playoff hopes alive.