According to the food systems think tank ReFED, approximately 320 million pounds of food are projected to be wasted during this Thanksgiving season — an increase from 316 million pounds in 2024. The lost food equates to roughly $550 million in retail value and represents about 267 million meals that could have fed those in need.
This occurs amid continuing food insecurity and rising inflation across the United States. Food prices are reported to be around 18.2% higher in September 2025 than they were in January 2022, placing additional pressure on both households and producers.
Federal judges have ordered the Trump administration to continue SNAP (food stamp) payments using emergency funds, but the ongoing government shutdown threatens delays in distribution for millions.
ReFED’s analysis emphasizes that most food waste occurs within homes. However, the consistent increase in waste during a period of high prices reveals inefficiencies throughout the supply chain, spanning overproduction to consumer behavior. The impact is both environmental and economic.
The think tank highlights that habitual consumer behavior remains a primary factor driving waste, especially during major holidays like Thanksgiving.
Author’s Summary: Rising U.S. food waste during Thanksgiving reflects deep inefficiencies in supply chains and consumer habits, worsened by inflation and the ongoing government shutdown.