Research news - Met Office
Met Office research news highlights updates to modelling, innovative research activities, and studies that enhance our understanding of global and UK weather impacts.
www.metoffice.gov.ukEl Niño onset expected this summer, 80% probability reported by the WMO, hinting at warmer global temperatures and heightened extreme weather potential. Across Europe and the UK experience a buckling jet stream bringing polar air southward, following a May heat event, as record heat and moisture boost storm intensity. These patterns heighten drought risk in parts of South Asia and challenge energy systems and farming worldwide through late 2026. Close watching of global weather patterns remains essential for planning across sectors.